Wrestlemania 28 was an entertaining show. I wanted to give a few thoughts from a betting perspective. As I wrote previously, I didn’t bet this show but wanted to give quick thoughts. It definitely seemed like Sheamus would go over after the go-home RAW even though the odds shifted in Bryan’s favor as Sheamus went from -250 to -215 from what I seen.
Kane-Orton was interesting as everyone thought Orton would win so WWE went with the opposite finish. Orton was about -500 so this one would have hurt for those betting on Kane. This is all in hindsight but this was the one match where WWE could swerve the fans. Also, Kane is supposed to be a monster and having him job out in the 2nd match on WM. Imo, it was smart to put him over if anybody still cares about him.
Cody Rhodes vs. Big Show had been about even money even though Big Show was + money when I thought Show had a much better than 50% chance of winning to finally overcome being a WM joke which was the point of the storyline. Of course, it was hardly a sure thing as they could have turned him heel. But, in the end he went over and I felt this would have been a good bet.
The divas match had the babyfaces going over. You had to think this would happen, if you would have bet it early when the faces were only -155 or under -200 it was a great bet but again, hardly a sure thing. It eventually moved closer to where it should have been.
Undertaker was a great bet at -475 is what I first seen it at on 5dimes but eventually was up to -2000 last I saw which is where it should have started as of course Taker was going over. Price was steep but still VALUE.
Team Johnny price went really high and they went over as expected.
Punk vs. Jericho had Punk as the underdog for a while and was hard to call even though I really thought Punk would end up winning although a good case could be made otherwise and was def. not convinced with the pre-match angle where Punk could lose his title on DQ since the following month is Extreme Rules in his hometown of Chicago.
Last match was very interesting with Rock vs. Cena. Cena was the favorite when the betting was released way back in 2011 and it stayed that way. One had to think they had to put over Cena and Rock would be leaving and do the job but right before match time and somewhat the last RAW it became evident they didn’t have to do that and before the match def. seen Rock winning. Anything else, would have been a terrible ending from the crowd.
These are just some thoughts I felt like writing up and might be good reference when betting next year’s Mania. How the mind frame of the writers worked and how the odds shifted.
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